Technology Foresight using ALVIS - 7 Oil & Gas exploration technologies and their future scenario 2030

Oil Exploration Technologies of the future - Year 2030 scenario - the feasibility comparison

Last week I conducted a 210 minutes scenario planning exercise using our ALVIS framework (analytical logical value inventive and systems thinking) - for more on us please visit Crafitti 

7 key technologies emerged as interesting - for oil and gas exploration fields

using ALVIS we identified the 7 technologies and analyzed the feasibility of these 7 technologies in terms next 15 years or so - the 2030 oil exploration.

The relative feasibility map is below using the methodology of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)

 

1. Reservoir Imaging: In the conventional data processing of the low frequency seismic reflections are typically neglected. However, these can be a rich source of information that can potentially help prospecting and understanding of potential of a reservoir much better. For an interesting take - look at this document.

2. Digital Oil Field : Focusing information technology to the core of petroleum business rather than doing the "IT department". Therein lies the key synergy. something on digital oil field

3. Intelligent Well Completion : the smart wells is the future as real time sensors can lead to quick reaction oil well completions. what slumberger has to say about it.

4. Polymer Flooding: every drop of oil that we can glean from the available sources will be a boon. Polymer flooding is one of the techniques to get there. what wikipedia says about these techniques.

5. Multi-lateral Drilling:    The LINK tells us about multi-lateral drilling - Multilateral drilling is the drilling of two or more horizontal production holes from a single surface location, normally with the objective to enhance productivity and lower overall cost.

6. Synthetic Drilling Fluids: The wikipedia link explains the synthetic fluids

7. 4D seismic surveys: The basic premise of 4D is a simple one. The method involves the acquisition, processing and interpretation of repeated seismic surveys over a producing field with the aim of understanding the changes in the reservoir over time, particularly its behaviour during production. Have a look at 4D surveys here.

Strategic Project Management in Global Software Development Scenarios the 3 part series

Our Three part article has been featured at Realinnovation.com on Strategic Project Management in Global Software Development Scenarios using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)


Strategic Project Management in GSD Scenarios

By Navneet Bhushan and Karthikeyan (Karthik) Iyer


Increasing globalization indicates that the world will see an increase in global software development. Studying the global software development landscape, this article identifies six different global software development scenarios. These include, in-house – near-shore; in-house – offshore; outsourced – near-shore; outsourced – offshore; collaborative – near-shore and collaborative – offshore. In each of these scenarios the relative project management challenges and priorities are different.

Strategic Project Management in GSD Scenarios Part 1

Strategic Project Management in GSD Scenarios Part 2

Strategic Project Management in GSD Scenarios Part 3

Analytic Hierarchy Process - The Strategic Decision Making

The Strategic Decision Making book - that came to print in Jan 2004, seems to be the last book with Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in its title, hence it is showing up in various lists - also may be the focus on strategic decision making is also another interesting aspect that must be making it being referred to in various tutorials and seminars.

Wikipedia on Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) gives the book as first reference

Tekenomo, Kardi's latest tutorial on AHP, {Teknomo, Kardi. (2006) Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) Tutorial) refers to the book in the resources section

Harvard Business School Working Knowledge referred to it as AHP - Not just any ROI!

Prof Bruce Golden - inluded the whole content page of the book in his presentation on recent developments in AHP

Informs Journal Interfaces - described it thus

This book is one in the valuable Decision Engineering series that focuses on the foundations and applications of tools and techniques related to decision engineering and identifies their roles in making decisions. We recommend this book for graduate-level students as well as all decision makers, especially in business and in government. Clearly, as demonstrated by the examples in the book, AHP can be applied to most subjects." (John Wang and Qiyang Chen, Interfaces, Vol. 35 (3), 2005)


Altshuller Institute is selling it as part of Innovation books at its site

OK - you may say what is the point -

Well no point, only SDM-Applying the AHP completes 4 years in Jan 2008 and I just plain happy about it!
May be its time to look at the next book - which always is in the pipeline ...