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My Book on Strategic Decision Making

My Book on Strategic Decision Making
Applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Showing posts with label My Talk. Show all posts
Showing posts with label My Talk. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Event: TRIZ Trends 2016 - at GE John F. Welch Technology Center, Bangalore, INDIA, Tuesday – April 12, 2016.

The Agenda is now Available for the day



Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Event: TRIZ Trends 2016 - at GE John F. Welch Technology Center, Bangalore, INDIA, Tuesday – April 12, 2016.

Dear All,
Please find attached an announcement on a one day summit called TRIZ-Trends 2016 at GE John F. Welch Technology Center, Bangalore, INDIA, Tuesday – April 12, 2016.
The first such summit was held in 2014 and this one provides a platform to learn, share, and network.
It is indeed a great initiative by GE.
Crafitti is happy to participate in this summit.

If you can make it kindly register quickly. Registration is FREE however seats are limited and time is by 31st March.

Kindly register early if you are in Bangalore on that day.   KINDLY FORWARD THIS TO YOUR CONTACTS WHO MAY BE INTERESTED.

"Participation & Registration : Participation is open to Engineers, Scientists, Academicians, Researchers and others interested in practicing and applying TRIZ for Innovation in their respective disciplines on a first-come-first-serve basis limited to a maximum of 50 participants. Preference will be given to those who have a background in TRIZ through formal or informal learning / training / certification.
REGISTRATION IS FREE BUT MANDATORY.

To Register please send an email to mt.shyamsunder@ge.com with subject as “TRIZ-TRENDS 2016 Registration” and provide details of Name, Designation, Organization, City, Email ID, Phone and TRIZ relevant certification and experience.
LAST DATE TO REGISTER : March 31, 2016

LOOK FORWARD TO MEETING YOU AT GE Bangalore on 12th April 2016.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Threat Modeling and Assessment for Low Intensity Conflict



A war, statistically speaking, is a rare event. It is also an exceedingly costly and disruptive form of interaction between people and states. A war indicates that level of bilateral relationship between two states, which exists from the time first mobilization of troops, is called for against the other side till peace is reached. This view of war implying only active armed conflict however is a restrictive definition. Here it is assumed that war/conflict is in operation, from the moment a state decides upon a policy of armed resistance or inclination to counter an external/ internal threat with military ramifications, to the time the solution of the active threat is achieved or it is made dormant.  Modern day wars have been defined at three levels of increasing intensity though not necessarily increasing complexity and duration (See Fig. 1). At the first level is the most prevalent form of warfare, i.e., Low Intensity Conflict (LIC). The LIC is defined as a conflict between irregular forces, mercenaries, revolutionaries, terrorists, etc., and the regular, conventional armed forces of a nation. The biggest challenge facing the conventionally armed forces of a nation, which are trained and equipped for fighting against the conventionally armed forces of the enemy, is to deal with LIC. The Mid Intensity Conflict (MIC) is the conventional warfare that is indoctrinated in the regular armed forces of the world. With the advent of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMDs), the chances of High Intensity Conflict (HIC), which is defined as a conflict involving WMDs, are increasing. As is evident from Fig 1 the probability of occurrence of a LIC is high and also the duration of such conflicts is more. This is due to the fact that LIC is a continuous process, which the armed forces all over the world have found hard to contain. The probability of WMD based HIC is low compared to LIC/MIC. However, a threat which this spectrum misses out is the possibility that, WMDs may fall in the hands of irregulars engaged in an LIC. This will bring the conflict to HIC levels, where the nation fighting the insurgents or irregulars will suffer. Therefore, the armed forces of a modern nation need equipment, force structure and doctrine to deal with threats at all three levels of intensity. Threat assessment is a major pre-requisite in all three conflict levels.



Sunday, January 03, 2016

ALVIS for Innovation and Decision Making Talk at Dr Reddy's Labs



(**** Talk at DRL Science Day 07 January 2016, Hyderabad ****)
ALVIS for Innovation and Decision Making
Navneet Bhushan

Abstract
In broad terms, we define innovation as successful creation of change through ideas. We propose that most innovation attempts fail because we overemphasise success from the very beginning of the process. Further two main challenges of innovation are identified as generating strong ideas and making strong choices. What makes an idea and a choice “strong” is an integrative thinking involving three dormant dimensions which we identify as value, inventive, and systems thinking. Our overemphasis on analytical and logical thinking orients our collective mindset towards a particular emphasis on quick and first perceived successful idea or choice. We propose in this task an integrative thinking framework that incorporates value, inventive and systems thinking along with analytical and logical thinking into the Analytical, Logical, Value, Inventive and Systems thinking (ALVIS) dimensions. Further, we explain the innovation crafting process involving SOUL-ALVIS-CRAFT as an integrated framework for making innovative organizations.  Further we describe in comprehensive detail how to be an innovation co-crafter using ALVIS thinking.  
o   An Innovation Co-Crafter is a Simpleton, Scientist and Saint - who starts along with people in a system (experienced domain experts) to reach to the SOUL of the system. He starts every time as a simpleton - then he becomes a scientist and finally achieves sainthood - reaching and delivering a wisdom of the system to effect change that is needed - making the system as close to Ideal as is possible. In this journey - he creates systemic change along with people in the system.
o   Every time the co-crafter starts as a simpleton who has multiple lenses to view reality and many times creates new lenses to look at reality - during these adventures in wonderland he behaves like a scientist – experimenting, exploring, understanding through the steps of SOUL - See, Observe, Understand and Live - after the simpleton has reached to the SOUL of the system, he starts the change process needed - a change that impacts all around him. Slowly the wisdom gleaned from this becomes the new change that the system needs and experts start developing their expertise in the new change!
o   A co-crafter is a simpleton who becomes a scientist and then achieves sainthood by working with a system and the people in the system to make the system as close to an ideal system as is possible - He has to be humble, has to accept that he doesn’t know and actually need to reach the SOUL of the system by learning to See, Observe, Understand and Live (SOUL) the system. Achieving Sainthood from being a simpleton every time is a learning process!
o   A co-crafter takes the organization that he works with to the Simplicity on the other side of complexity - one has to go through complexity. This side of simplicity will keep us simpletons - I hope you can connect with being Simpleton at this side of complexity - being a Saint is on other side of complexity and exploring complexity is being a scientist!
o   The co-crafter takes the system through a journey of simplicity from this side of complexity to the other side of complexity, breaking and many times shattering the mountains of complexity!

Learning is the Key
·         Complex Learning Happens in an environment of High Challenge Low Threat through Immersion in multiple authentic experiences and then active processing of these experiences to glean meaning–The Innovation co-crafter focuses on the above three for all “creative learners”

·         What is needed is an approach that is less control more creation, less management more on-its-own, less of post-facto data analysis, more of empiricism and experimentation - less of hierarchies more of networks, less of pyramidal thinking more of all-inclusive thinking. We have to wake up to the fact that world is self-organizing!

·         Three Key Questions?
o   Understanding the world around you
§  Discover yourself and your business – Make your model of the world – articulate that model
§  Key Techniques/Methodologies
·         TRIZ  - Inventive Thinking                                                            
·         Scenario Planning/Crisis Gaming/Seminar Gaming           
·         The Scientific Method                                                                   
·         The Science of Networks/Social Networks
·         Theory of Evolution

o   Understanding your customers and markets
§  Describe and Develop your Business– Identify key opportunities and problems – Develop possible strategic directions that your business can take
§  Key Techniques/Methodologies/Subjects
·         Strategy                                                                              
·         Intellectual Property Systems   
·         Understanding Wealth and Money             
·         Globalization                                                  
·         Theories of Innovation                 

o   Understanding your business
§  Deploy and Measure your Business – What is working – How you are making decisions about your business
§  Key Techniques/Methodologies/Subjects
·         Why and how your Business can fail?               
·         Systems Thinking
·         Digital Disruptions                                           
·         Value, Lean and Quality Thinking
·         Theories of Decision Making                      

*****
Key Bullet Points of the talk
(a) ALVIS Thinking (Analytical Logical Value Inventive and Systems thinking)
(b) See Observe Understand and Live (SOUL)
(c) Scenario Planning with System operators
(d) ALVIS for new Concept creation
(e) CRAFT (communicate relate allow follow-up turn-around)
(f)  Designing an innovative organization
(g) How to be an Innovation Co-Crafter
(h) Conclusions and Q&A
*****
The agenda for the day 

 

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