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My Book on Strategic Decision Making

My Book on Strategic Decision Making
Applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process

Thursday, October 16, 2008

GIXBang Scenarios 2009

The Globalizing Innovation Complexity (GIX) is showing up now. We have a situation where the wealth of nations, corporates and individuals is going off at such a rapid pace that people who are not adapting to this world are going to face severe problems. Peeping into future through GIXBANG Scenario Writing, I envisage 4 possible scenarios from now till April 2010.

Scenario I: The Economic Ripple Effects Continue and world has lost 40% of large monolithic MNCs or Global Corporations

Scenario II: The world starts gaining the wealth back and its back to a situation of 2006-2007

Scenario III: There is a Major War with have-nots of the past world overtaking political, military, economic and social fabric to launch an offensive against the haves

Scenario IV: A new type of structure emerges for wealth creation - where many small organizations or even individuals combine together to create value everywhere - They actually replace the large monolithic hierarchical social structures or large organizations by networked peer-to-peer social relationships.

I shall be developing these scenarios over next few weeks - please comment and add your scenarios. Lets do an open scenario writing!

1 comment:

Atul said...

excellent idea, Navneet. i would like to think through the possibilities, too! though, i believe the issue isnot so much economic, as much as it is emotional.

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