The Globalizing Innovation Complexity (GIX) is showing up now. We have a situation where the wealth of nations, corporates and individuals is going off at such a rapid pace that people who are not adapting to this world are going to face severe problems. Peeping into future through GIXBANG Scenario Writing, I envisage 4 possible scenarios from now till April 2010.
Scenario I: The Economic Ripple Effects Continue and world has lost 40% of large monolithic MNCs or Global Corporations
Scenario II: The world starts gaining the wealth back and its back to a situation of 2006-2007
Scenario III: There is a Major War with have-nots of the past world overtaking political, military, economic and social fabric to launch an offensive against the haves
Scenario IV: A new type of structure emerges for wealth creation - where many small organizations or even individuals combine together to create value everywhere - They actually replace the large monolithic hierarchical social structures or large organizations by networked peer-to-peer social relationships.
I shall be developing these scenarios over next few weeks - please comment and add your scenarios. Lets do an open scenario writing!
My Book on Strategic Decision Making
Applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
excellent idea, Navneet. i would like to think through the possibilities, too! though, i believe the issue isnot so much economic, as much as it is emotional.
Post a Comment