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Friday, February 26, 2010

7th International Symposium on Fuels and Lubricants (ISFL)

The 7th ISFL happening in Delhi 9-12 March 2010 promises to be an interesting conference.

Our paper has been accepted and we will be presenting on 11 March.

Look forward to meeting you there.

The paper abstract is below

Exploring Multiple Energy Futures –

Using Patent Trends, TRIZ, Scenario Writing and AHP

Navneet Bhushan#, Karthikeyan Iyer and Ashank Reddy

Emails: {navneet.bhushan, karthikeyan.iyer, ashank.reddy} @ crafitti.com

Crafitti Consulting Private Limited,

http://www.crafitti.com


ABSTRACT

Despite many technological advances, human race has continued to rely on fossil fuels for its expanding energy consumption, thus depleting these precious resources at much faster rates than they are replenished. There is a need to describe, imagine and explore possible energy futures that we are facing in next 20 years or so. This paper use a new integrated approach which combines scenario planning and studies of patent trends in specific domains and combine them with the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (TRIZ). This integrated approach results in much more comprehensive and robust scenarios. The resulting scenarios are explored to determine new possibilities for our energy needs. The scope of research into energy efficient mechanisms (both present and future) is then prioritized in each scenario. This is carried out using a combination of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The comprehensive multi-dimensional and multi-perspective methodology proposed in this paper using well-established scientific methods results in exploration of multiple energy futures thus creating more robust solution directions.


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