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My Book on Strategic Decision Making

My Book on Strategic Decision Making
Applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Showing posts with label ALVIS Thinking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ALVIS Thinking. Show all posts

Monday, March 26, 2018

Crafting New Choices in The Sixth Wave of Innovation (2020-2045)

Last week I was invited to give a seminar talk at REVA University in Bangalore.

Key slides from my talk below









Sunday, January 01, 2017

Typology of Problems - Problem Formulation Framework

Problem Solving requires problem understanding and problem exploration. We have seen there is general tendency to get into solving - getting to solutions quickly before even understanding the problem.

We describe 4 Types of Problems that we encountered usually in our workshops. Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (TRIZ) describe these as contradictions - some sort of conflicts between various system parameters.

Type A: Wish/Aspiration ~ Administrative Contradiction ~ May be High level Objective setting (Almost ~ Do "Something")

Type B: Unexpected Results/Consequences of an action

Type C: Beyond Optimisation (Technical Contradiction)

Type D: Paradox (physical contradiction)

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We describe below the basic anatomy of these 4 type of problems and what questions can help you refine these problem statements towards a solution thinking.

This is part of our SOUL-ALVIS-CRAFT framework

Type A: Wish/Aspiration ~ Administrative Contradiction ~ May be High level Objective setting (Almost ~ Do "Something")

Anatomy of Type A problems : (1) We should do X (increase productivity, profit, reliability, etc, decrease attrition, waste, etc)) (2) I want to do X, but have no opportunity or not allowed to do X. (3) We should do X, but do not know how/vague idea of how to do

Question on the problem statement : Why should you do X? What is stopping you to do X?
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Type B: Unexpected Results/Consequences of an action

 Anatomy of Type B problems : (1) We did Y expecting X, but it resulted in Z? (2) We did Y to do X, we achieved X partially but we also had Z which is harmful/not expected/not thought through?

 Question on the problem statement : Why were you expecting X (X only)? What was missed out when you conceived Y to achieve X? Why Z was not expected? Could something done while doing Y caused Z? Can Y be modified to eliminate that something?

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 Type C: Beyond Optimisation


Anatomy of Type C problems : (1) We improve X by doing Y but it worsen/reduce Z which is not desired. (2) We improve X by doing Y but we can not do more Y to improve X as it reduces/worsens Z, so we do Y only to an extent to optimise X and Z.

 Question on the problem statement : Could something done while doing Y caused Z to worsen? What is that? Can Y be modified to eliminate that something? Can we find Y-Dash which does X AND doesn’t worsen Z?

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Type D: Paradox (physical contradiction)

Anatomy of Type D problems : (1) We want X to have P AND we want X to have "Not P". (2) We want X to function as Y AND we want X to function as NOT Y

Question on the problem statement : When do you want P and when not P? Where do you want P and where not P? Under what conditions you want P and under what conditions you want not P?


*****

Friday, June 10, 2016

5 Paths to Innovation - SOUL-ALVIS-CRAFT

Over the years we have been practicing 5 different routes to successful creation of change through ideas - which we define as Innovation. These paths are now structured as 5 Innovation projects using our SOUL-ALVIS-CRAFT framework. For more on that click here.

The five paths are

1. IMAGINE THE NEXT
YOU MAY KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING, BUT YOU MAY NOT KNOW WHERE THE WORLD IS GOING
  • We write scenarios for you. Globalization, Innovation, Complexity—all of these may be a threat or an opportunity in your industry or for you. The only way to find out is to know. In this project we imagine a Future that you should be creating!
2. TRANSFORM AN EXISTING SYSTEM
ALL OF US HAVE THE INERTIA OF EXISTING SYSTEM, WE BUILD CHANGE BY PENETRATING THE INERTIA OF EXISTING SYSTEMS AND PATENTS
  • In this project we invent the next by analyzing solutions, inventions and Patents in your field and building on them.
3. SOLVE—MESSY PROBLEM
YOU ARE CAUGHT IN A WEB- WE SOLVE HARD-TO SOLVE PROBLEMS BY IDENTIFYING AND UNTANGLING THE KNOTS

  • We Identify and Solve inventive problems by identifying system conflicts and resolving them by inventive principles and laws of system evolution.

4. IDENTIFY - CUSTOMER NEED
YOU MAY KNOW WHAT YOU ARE OFFERING; BUT YOU MAY NOT KNOW WHAT YOUR CUSTOMER NEED 

  • We use our Customer Value Framework to provide you and your company a deeper insight into what the customer need and what you should offer. and then work towards fulfilling the need.
5. DEVELOP - FORESIGHT
YOU MAY KNOW WHAT TECHNOLOGY OFFERS TODAY; BUT YOU MAY NOT KNOW WHAT TECHNOLOGY WILL COME TO YOUR INDUSTRY IN FUTURE

  • Our invention strength assessment create specific technology foresight for you and your industry based on technology trends and scientific foresight methods.

Sunday, January 17, 2016

Innovation System - "How to" in 9 Slides!

On Linkedin I posted Crafitti's 9 Slides on Setting up an "Innovation System" 

The 9 Slides are 


1. INNOVATION IS A HUGE CHALLENGE !

2. CHALLENGE - INNOVATION SUCCESS ANXIETY

3. CHALLENGE - PSYCHOLOGICAL INERTIA OF CORE COMPETENCE

4. NEEDED - A SYSTEM OF INNOVATION

5. "TRIAL AND ERROR" "ARCHIMEDES BATH TUB" "EDISON'S NEEDLE IN THE HAYSTACK" - will not work!

6. THE SYSTEM OF INNOVATION - AT ALL LEVELS

7. AN INTEGRATED THINKING APPROACH - BEYOND ANALYSIS

8. SOUL-ALVIS-CRAFT IS THE FRAMEWORK FOR INNOVATION SYSTEM

9. BLUEPRINT FOR AN INNOVATION ENTERPRISE

You can access the 9 Slides at the Link 9-SLIDES TO INNOVATION SYSTEM

Sunday, January 03, 2016

ALVIS for Innovation and Decision Making Talk at Dr Reddy's Labs



(**** Talk at DRL Science Day 07 January 2016, Hyderabad ****)
ALVIS for Innovation and Decision Making
Navneet Bhushan

Abstract
In broad terms, we define innovation as successful creation of change through ideas. We propose that most innovation attempts fail because we overemphasise success from the very beginning of the process. Further two main challenges of innovation are identified as generating strong ideas and making strong choices. What makes an idea and a choice “strong” is an integrative thinking involving three dormant dimensions which we identify as value, inventive, and systems thinking. Our overemphasis on analytical and logical thinking orients our collective mindset towards a particular emphasis on quick and first perceived successful idea or choice. We propose in this task an integrative thinking framework that incorporates value, inventive and systems thinking along with analytical and logical thinking into the Analytical, Logical, Value, Inventive and Systems thinking (ALVIS) dimensions. Further, we explain the innovation crafting process involving SOUL-ALVIS-CRAFT as an integrated framework for making innovative organizations.  Further we describe in comprehensive detail how to be an innovation co-crafter using ALVIS thinking.  
o   An Innovation Co-Crafter is a Simpleton, Scientist and Saint - who starts along with people in a system (experienced domain experts) to reach to the SOUL of the system. He starts every time as a simpleton - then he becomes a scientist and finally achieves sainthood - reaching and delivering a wisdom of the system to effect change that is needed - making the system as close to Ideal as is possible. In this journey - he creates systemic change along with people in the system.
o   Every time the co-crafter starts as a simpleton who has multiple lenses to view reality and many times creates new lenses to look at reality - during these adventures in wonderland he behaves like a scientist – experimenting, exploring, understanding through the steps of SOUL - See, Observe, Understand and Live - after the simpleton has reached to the SOUL of the system, he starts the change process needed - a change that impacts all around him. Slowly the wisdom gleaned from this becomes the new change that the system needs and experts start developing their expertise in the new change!
o   A co-crafter is a simpleton who becomes a scientist and then achieves sainthood by working with a system and the people in the system to make the system as close to an ideal system as is possible - He has to be humble, has to accept that he doesn’t know and actually need to reach the SOUL of the system by learning to See, Observe, Understand and Live (SOUL) the system. Achieving Sainthood from being a simpleton every time is a learning process!
o   A co-crafter takes the organization that he works with to the Simplicity on the other side of complexity - one has to go through complexity. This side of simplicity will keep us simpletons - I hope you can connect with being Simpleton at this side of complexity - being a Saint is on other side of complexity and exploring complexity is being a scientist!
o   The co-crafter takes the system through a journey of simplicity from this side of complexity to the other side of complexity, breaking and many times shattering the mountains of complexity!

Learning is the Key
·         Complex Learning Happens in an environment of High Challenge Low Threat through Immersion in multiple authentic experiences and then active processing of these experiences to glean meaning–The Innovation co-crafter focuses on the above three for all “creative learners”

·         What is needed is an approach that is less control more creation, less management more on-its-own, less of post-facto data analysis, more of empiricism and experimentation - less of hierarchies more of networks, less of pyramidal thinking more of all-inclusive thinking. We have to wake up to the fact that world is self-organizing!

·         Three Key Questions?
o   Understanding the world around you
§  Discover yourself and your business – Make your model of the world – articulate that model
§  Key Techniques/Methodologies
·         TRIZ  - Inventive Thinking                                                            
·         Scenario Planning/Crisis Gaming/Seminar Gaming           
·         The Scientific Method                                                                   
·         The Science of Networks/Social Networks
·         Theory of Evolution

o   Understanding your customers and markets
§  Describe and Develop your Business– Identify key opportunities and problems – Develop possible strategic directions that your business can take
§  Key Techniques/Methodologies/Subjects
·         Strategy                                                                              
·         Intellectual Property Systems   
·         Understanding Wealth and Money             
·         Globalization                                                  
·         Theories of Innovation                 

o   Understanding your business
§  Deploy and Measure your Business – What is working – How you are making decisions about your business
§  Key Techniques/Methodologies/Subjects
·         Why and how your Business can fail?               
·         Systems Thinking
·         Digital Disruptions                                           
·         Value, Lean and Quality Thinking
·         Theories of Decision Making                      

*****
Key Bullet Points of the talk
(a) ALVIS Thinking (Analytical Logical Value Inventive and Systems thinking)
(b) See Observe Understand and Live (SOUL)
(c) Scenario Planning with System operators
(d) ALVIS for new Concept creation
(e) CRAFT (communicate relate allow follow-up turn-around)
(f)  Designing an innovative organization
(g) How to be an Innovation Co-Crafter
(h) Conclusions and Q&A
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The agenda for the day 

 

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