In January 2013 as The Rafale Fighter aircraft was chosen to be the medium multi-role combat aircraft for Indian Air Force (IAF), I wrote down the following article. The article created a minor controversy.
Well, I still hold on to view of making our Air Force structure on Su-30MKI, LCA I and II, AMCA, FGFA and potentially UCAVs.
Posting again the original article for historical reasons.
Well, I still hold on to view of making our Air Force structure on Su-30MKI, LCA I and II, AMCA, FGFA and potentially UCAVs.
Posting again the original article for historical reasons.
MMRCA – A RELOOK
With the defence cuts, the
outrageously visible and comprehensively debated Medium Multi-Role Combat
Aircraft (MMRCA) deal for 126 modern aircraft for the Indian Air Force (IAF) is
all set to be delayed. Through a complex, comprehensive and conclusive
competition Rafale fighter aircraft came out trumps last year. Although the
aircraft has been selected, the deal has not been signed and we were told that
negotiations are on. It has also been mentioned that by end of FY 2012 the deal
would be signed. Given the cuts now, it is clear that IAF will have to wait for
MMRCA for some more time. Considering this delay as a blessing in disguise, can
we look at what the genesis of MMRCA and how much do we need a new MMRCA? Also
if we acquire a new fighter aircraft, what are the implications?
The Variety of Aircraft with Indian Air Force
The last major aircraft acquired
into IAF is the SU-30MKI. India today operates 8 squadrons of Su-30.
Mirage-2000 is the next important aircraft, though, not in terms of numbers as
IAF operates only 3 Squadrons of this multi-role aircraft, with which IAF is
very happy. Besides the above, IAF has Mig-21s, Mig-27s, Jaguars and Mig-29s in
its inventory. When the need for MMRCA came into picture it was for filling the
gap – as Mig-21s – the real work horse of IAF for many decades – was coming to
the end of its extended shelf-life. As is the case with so many varieties of
Mig-23s, Mig-27s etc that IAF acquired in 1980s when US gave F-16s to Pakistan.
The Mirage-2000 was also an acquisition in response to Pak F-16s. In 1990s,
country hoped that LCA-Tejas would be ready in the first decade of 21st
century for squadron level entry to replace Mig-21s. With the delay in LCA, IAF
said we need to fill an immediate need quickly by getting a Medium
Multi-Role Combat Aircraft in the force. The importance of Medium in contrast
to LCA’s Light
is easy to distinguish. What could be a medium combat aircraft – definitely
which can carry heavier load – may be more “hard points” – better, longer range
avionics etc. When it came to choice, we created the competition between the
best “Medium” aircraft available.
Is Su-30MKI a Medium Multi-Role Combat Aircraft?
Everyone agrees that Su-30 MKI is
one of the most capable aircraft. It is already been improved and the new lot
of 42 ordered last month will have better avionics etc. What is more, we would
have our local Hindustan Aeronautics Limited able to absorb and built them as
we get into future. Capability wise – will Su-30MKI fill up the role of MMRCA -
May be yes, may be no. For one, it is not medium, it is heavy. But cost-wise
and continuity-wise may be better if we look at an option of SU-30MKI and LCA
for numbers this decade and next.
The Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft/Perspective Multi-Role
Fighter (PMF) and Light Combat Aircraft (LCA)
By 2022 India will start
receiving the FGFA or PMF being jointly developed with Russia. This is the
logical evolution from SU-30MKI. Also IAF should start getting LCA and the LCA
mark 2 as well. India will be working on three key aircraft streams FGFA,
Su-30MKI and LCA and its variants.
The Unmanned Combat Aircraft Dimension
Many key operations performed by
manned combat aircraft are rapidly being performed by Unmanned Air-borne
Vehicles (UAVs) and the upcoming Unmanned Air Combat Vehicles (UCAVs). Indian
Air Force will be well-served to increase more UAV/UCAV component in its
inventory rapidly. Here, Indian Industry can be handy with our vast experience
in software. The key to “Unmanned” is mission-critical software that makes
these vehicles – unmanned.
Recommendations
Given the above factors and
dimensions, it may be prudent for IAF to rethink its future order of battle and
design itself on three key streams of Su-30MKI, LCA++ and FGFA. Also, IAF will
be well-served with increasing and creating potent “Unmanned” capability –
long-range, medium-range and short-range. The transitions will be well-served
by the existing MIGs, Jaguars and Mirage-2000s. Rafale, although a fantastic
aircraft, will not fit into the long-term requirements of the country. Unless
it is being considered to include Rafale as the third leg of the IAF future
thereby, making LCA still-born. If IAF take this as the key requirement – then
in 2030 we should be giving may be Trillion Dollars for buying the latest Toys
that French may create and our adversaries will be laughing continuously as
China would have its own stealth fighters and bombers which China will
gleefully share with Pakistan. Hope the
defence budget cut proves to be a blessing in disguise and we stop this
“Medium” search to focus on real future.
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