Technology Foresight using ALVIS - 7 Oil & Gas exploration technologies and their future scenario 2030

Oil Exploration Technologies of the future - Year 2030 scenario - the feasibility comparison

Last week I conducted a 210 minutes scenario planning exercise using our ALVIS framework (analytical logical value inventive and systems thinking) - for more on us please visit Crafitti 

7 key technologies emerged as interesting - for oil and gas exploration fields

using ALVIS we identified the 7 technologies and analyzed the feasibility of these 7 technologies in terms next 15 years or so - the 2030 oil exploration.

The relative feasibility map is below using the methodology of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)

 

1. Reservoir Imaging: In the conventional data processing of the low frequency seismic reflections are typically neglected. However, these can be a rich source of information that can potentially help prospecting and understanding of potential of a reservoir much better. For an interesting take - look at this document.

2. Digital Oil Field : Focusing information technology to the core of petroleum business rather than doing the "IT department". Therein lies the key synergy. something on digital oil field

3. Intelligent Well Completion : the smart wells is the future as real time sensors can lead to quick reaction oil well completions. what slumberger has to say about it.

4. Polymer Flooding: every drop of oil that we can glean from the available sources will be a boon. Polymer flooding is one of the techniques to get there. what wikipedia says about these techniques.

5. Multi-lateral Drilling:    The LINK tells us about multi-lateral drilling - Multilateral drilling is the drilling of two or more horizontal production holes from a single surface location, normally with the objective to enhance productivity and lower overall cost.

6. Synthetic Drilling Fluids: The wikipedia link explains the synthetic fluids

7. 4D seismic surveys: The basic premise of 4D is a simple one. The method involves the acquisition, processing and interpretation of repeated seismic surveys over a producing field with the aim of understanding the changes in the reservoir over time, particularly its behaviour during production. Have a look at 4D surveys here.

Track Chair - International Symposium on Analytic Hierarchy Process, Washington, US, June-July 2014

As Track Chair on Disaster Management and Risk Analysis at The International Symposium on Analytic Hierarchy Process - 2014, I have been soliciting abstracts of papers for AHP/ANP applications on disaster management and risk analysis.
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As Track chair, I have received abstracts under various themes as below. For each session (each composed of a maximum 4 papers) I still have some slots under each session. Organizers have extended the date of final submission so we can accommodate more papers. (each paper should be an application, extension or development of AHP/ANP technique for disaster and risk!

The following is the tentative list - please send your abstract to navneet.bhushan@crafitti.com to be included under these tracks.

(a) Session: RISK AND CRISIS OF INCREASINGLY NETWORKED/COMPLEX WORLD

Paper 1: Social Media Risk Management Strategy : Applying Analytical Hierarchy Process
Paper 2: An integrated approach for management of global risks
Paper 3:
Paper 4:

(b) EXPLAINING, UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO BUSINESS/INDUSTRIAL
RISKS, CRISIS AND DISASTERS

Paper 5: Improved Project Risk Management using historical risk information and AHP
Paper 6: AHP AS TOOL FOR HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT IN THE R&D SECTOR
Paper 7:
Paper 8:

(c) MILITARY, SECURITY AND WAR - RISKS, CRISIS AND DISASTERS

Paper 9: A METHOD OF RISK ANALYSIS AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT USING ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS: AN APPLICATION TO AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM
Paper 10: Crisis Mitigation in Strategic Planning using AHP
Paper 11: Nuclear Scenario in South Asia
Paper 12:

(d) TECHNOLOGY, INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY AND INNOVATION - RISKS, CRISIS
AND DISASTERS

Paper 13: RISK ASSESSMENT IN DEVELOPMENT OF LEAN ARCHITECTURE FOR CONTROL SYSTEM OF AN AERO ENGINE
Paper 14: RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT DURING DEVELOPMENT OF GAS TURBINE ENGINE SUB-SYSTEMS
Paper 15:
Paper 16:

Strategic Decision Making - Applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process - My Book

Kathmandu University - School of Management (KUSOM) is conducting a course on decision making and using my book on Strategic Decision Making - Applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process as part of the course taught by Mr. Shashi Bhattarai. The book was published in January 2004 and now has been referred to by many research papers and journals!!