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My Book on Strategic Decision Making

My Book on Strategic Decision Making
Applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process

Sunday, June 22, 2008

Military Doctrine - How to Make Business Non-Linear

Just to give a flavor of how Military Doctrines has advanced and become more non-linear - I would like to refer again to my article Future of Warfare - A Search for Military Doctrine.

REQUIREMENTS OF FUTURE WARFARE - An Analyst’s Perspective

Future wars will require agile leaders capable of acting faster than the enemy to deal with complex and rapidly changing battlefields. “The military commanders must be able to see and understand their present state, establish a vision of future end state and to articulate a unifying concept of operations. Future battlefields will be more lethal, uncertain, confusing and with less time and increased consequences for decisions” [18]. However, on the battlefield it is our military commander’s intuitive decisions that will win the battles and ultimately the future wars for us. There is a need to assist this intuitive decision making capability of our commanders in compressed time. This assistance is possible through development of realistic mathematical models incorporating the detailed battle parameters.

The new and future battlefields will be highly non linear. The old concept of sequential battle front (see Fig 1) has been replaced by Follow-on-Forces Attacks (FOFA), Strike Deep Strike Hard (SDSH) and Air land battle doctrines (see Fig 2). In these doctrines, battle front is considered not only the immediate engagement area, but whole space and all those elements in that space which support enemy’s forward deployed forces. These war execution ways calls for hitting deep inside enemy territory - way behind the immediate fronts where the actual combat between regular forces is taking place. It involves, hitting enemy Command and Control centres, Surveillance and Reconnaissance systems, Logistics Support System and Strategic Units, etc.


The future forces will be deployed as shown in Fig 3. There will not be a clear enemy in the traditional sense of combat troops, reserves, armoured division etc. Instead, enemy military force will be based on small, independent, highly mobile and highly integrated fighting units. It will be imperative for the attackers to destroy not only the fighter units but also the integration links. The basis of this integration will be the Command Control Communication Computers Intelligence Interpretability Surveillance Reconnaissance (C4I2SR) system, Space and Electronic Warfare (SEW) system and Integrated Logistics System (ILS). Therefore, a shift from linear to highly non-linear battlefields will reshape the future warfare.


The BIG QUESTION -

HOW TO MAKE BUSINESS NON-LINEAR?

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